The Zero Marginal Cost Economy and Prout Society
G Surender Reddy
“Economics is defined as a science of scarcity; In the 21st century, it is predicted, abundance, will define it.”
Jeremy Rifkin, the best-selling author, published his twentieth book titled The Zero Marginal Cost Society: The Internet of Things, the Collaborative Commons and the Eclipse of Capitalism, 2014. It draws attention to a much more profound contradiction, ignored by Karl Marx, while eloquent about the many other ancillary contradictions of capitalism.
Dying Capitalism:
Rifkin exposes the contradiction at the heart of capitalism that has propelled it to greatness – but is now taking it to its death. The inherent entrepreneurial dynamism of competitive markets drives productivity up and marginal costs down. It enables businesses to reduce the price of goods and services to win over consumers and market share. When goods or services attain critical mass, one can make additional units at zero or near-zero marginal cost.
Zero marginal cost describes a situation where one can produce additional goods and services without increasing production costs. While economists have always welcomed a reduction in marginal cost, they never anticipated the possibility of a technological revolution that might bring marginal costs to near zero, making goods and services priceless, nearly free, and abundant, and no longer subject to market forces.
Scarcity to Abundance:
We are worried that capital accumulation is driving ever-greater wealth inequality, that we have already lost the climate change battle. We have good news. Rifkin argues that we are about to enter an era when the Internet of Things, free energy, and what he calls ‘the collaborative Commons’ will make anything and everything available for practically nothing. Together, he contends, those developments will overthrow capitalism as the world’s dominant economic model. Economics now is a science of scarcity, but in the 21st century, it will be defined in terms of abundance.
The near-zero-marginal cost phenomenon has already disrupted the information goods industries over the past decade. Millions of consumers turned Prosumers are using the Internet to produce and share their music via file-sharing services, videos on YouTube, knowledge on Wikipedia, news on social media, and even e-books, all for nearly free, which has become commonplace. Massively Open Online Courses (MOOCs) operate at near-zero marginal cost, and some of the most distinguished professors in the world conduct them. Six million students are currently enrolled on MOOCs for free. The near-zero marginal cost phenomenon brought the music industry to its knees, shook the film and television industries, forced newspapers and magazines out of business, crippled the book publishing market and forced universities to rethink their business model.
Internet of Things & AI:
There was an argument that the productivity advances made possible by the digital economy would not pass across the firewall from the virtual world to the brick-and-mortar economy of energy, transportation, and physical goods and services. There is no longer a firewall between the digital and the world of physical enterprise. A new Internet of Things (IoT) is evolving. Artificial intelligence drives automation and robotics, enabling exponential productivity growth – pushing down production costs and expenses of hiring a workforce. It allows conventional businesses and millions of ‘prosumers’ to make, store and distribute renewable energy on a digital energy Internet; Share vehicles on an automated, GPS-guided and soon driverless, Transportation and Logistics Internet and manufacture an increasing array of 3-D-printed physical products and other goods and services. All this at a meagre marginal cost in the market exchange economy, or near zero marginal cost in the sharing economy—just as they now do with information goods.
The best biology class video, that is, (digitised); distributed online, that is, (demonetised); and consumed by an infinite number of students (democratised) – illustrates the typical three-step process of the new economy. Post-COVID, the expensive Conferences are digitised (Zoom, etc.), demonetised, person-to-person contact costs reduced to zero, and democratised, accessible to anyone with a smartphone. Similarly, all activities having a cognitive pattern, including most critical [robotic] surgeries, would be rendered to zero marginal cost, dispensation.
Universal Education:
Prout Samaj guarantees access to Universal Education and also Healthcare, ensuring a level playing field. It proclaims ‘Sa Vidya ya Vimuktaye’. Education cannot be subjected to a market economy and should be treated as a Fundamental Right of all citizens to enable the fullest human expression of each individual’s physical, psychic and spiritual potential, without any discrimination.
Several European Union countries, including Germany, provide free Education, including Higher education, to all citizens.
India spends a low GDP share of 3.37 per cent, which has declined from 4.5 per cent in 2000, while it is 4–6 per cent of GDP in most countries, big and small, rich and underdeveloped. The average share of GDP for Education in OECD countries is 4.5. By not funding Education, the Pakistani government drove the students into the lap of fundamentalist madrasas with severe consequences for themselves and the region.
Vested interests in India are commoditising and lowering the standards of Education. Their neglect of teaching Humanities subjects is affecting the cultivation of exemplary citizenship against dogmas.
The digitisation of the knowledge resources and universal, affordable Internet connectivity enable access to a world-class education for all. The best digital classroom experience can be delivered on handheld devices at zero marginal cost without distinction to rich and poor alike.
Samaj Prout activists would unlock the potential of a zero marginal cost economy to materialise the powerful dream of universal, quality education to all in both the mother tongue and world languages. ‘Sa Vidya ya Vimuktaye’.
Food Sovereignty:
Exponential innovations in science and technology will render the required local food production for the population of a Samaj economic and also feasible, irrespective of adverse or favourable geophysical factors.
The Prout agrarian revolution of cooperatives can free humanity from malnutrition, hunger and restore the threatened environment. All we need is the political will to establish governance of Samajas by the Prout-informed Leadership.
The solutions for the production of sufficient food are available. Each Samaj shall design the (Proutist) cooperative economy to produce and distribute food to meet the demand satisfactorily.
There are three important factors favouring sustainable climate-neutral farming and food production;
(A) Zero marginal cost of Inputs:
a) Desalination/Nutrition by Drip irrigation, b) Energy for Controlled climate conditions of the multi-tiered greenhouses or vertical farming. c) Waste management for generating biofertilizers.
The energy necessary will be available in situ at zero marginal cost, drawn from Renewable resources such as solar, wind, tidal, hydro-thermal and others.
(B) AI/Automation and Agronomic Practices:
Hydroponics, Artificial intelligence, Nano-robots and Automation will render crop production in multi-tiered, climate-neutral greenhouses feasible, and Crop monitoring by Drones will reduce workforce necessity, reducing drudgery.
(C) Rising Health/Environmental consciousness:
There is gathering momentum for local food production for local consumption, for all the right reasons: carbon footprint, health, circular or symbiotic economy.
Transport and Communications:
The multiple revolutions – navigation (Google Maps), ride-hailing, ride-sharing (Uber) and self-driving vehicles (Waymo), riding on the platform of the Internet, combined with the exponential increase in battery storage capacity, will render transport to near-zero cost.
The communications revolution in the last two decades has made geography history. Now powered by handheld smartphones, it is heading to connect the entire humanity rapidly. The costs have also been rapidly falling, with several projects underway to offer free internet connectivity and Wi-fi.
Healthcare for All:
Unlike the current, ‘reactive’ distress-stage Healthcare, the future will be ‘predictive’ based on the genome information of all members of a Samaj, made available at a cloud-based bank. Along with chips embedded in the individual, connected to an online health surveillance system and Digital Assistants (artificial intelligence) to deliver universal Healthcare at zero marginal cost.
The individual whole-genome sequencing cost from 7 crores in 2001 has crashed to Rs. 15000/- in 2020 (Veritas Genetics). The downward curve with volumes will render it at zero marginal cost in a few years. Prout society will ensure whole-genome sequencing for all and its access to Experts to monitor health indicators to deliver predictive healthcare.
Universal Access to Basic Necessities:
The data-rich Ecosystem has transformed how we learn, socialise, work, and entertain through affordable smartphones at near marginal cost. Similarly, three-step – Digitised, Demonetised, and Democratised processes will go beyond the virtual spaces to drive physical devices in every sector, from Cars to surgical operation devices, bringing the zero marginal economics closer to the goal of guaranteed minimum necessities of life and welfare of all.
Conclusion:
Prout activists must challenge the under-use, abuse and disuse of available resources under greed-driven capitalism. Another world is possible with the zero marginal cost economy to achieve self-reliance in the local production and distribution of guaranteed minimum necessities of life to all members of the society.
The redesign of the economy through cooperatives will secure equitable and rational distribution of the essential minimum requirements of the era, further progressively upgrading the universal basic basket of essential goods and services following the changing times.
Prout ideology warrants a revolutionary shift in behaviour and the adoption of a new value system based on spirituality. The Prout vision of alternative futures shall inspire a paradigm shift in social thinking and action. The Proutists shall offer the leadership in realising the Sadvipra Samaj of human welfare.
G Surender Reddy
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